Live polling
Poll dashboard
The latest party-vote numbers, how they have moved, and how the pollsters compare — updated automatically as new polls are collected. Seat estimates apply the 5% threshold only and are an indication, not a forecast.
Latest poll
21 Aug 2026
RNZ–Reid Research
Leading party
Labour 32.2%
3.1 pts ahead of National
Polls in last 30 days
5
49 polls on file
Seat estimate
60 — 60
Current governing parties vs the rest (120 seats)
Party vote over the campaign
Monthly averages across all published polls.
LabourNationalGreenACTNZ FirstTe Pāti MāoriTOP
Sources behind this chart · 20 polls
August 2026
- RNZ–Reid Research 21 Aug rnz.co.nz →
- 1News–Verian 11 Aug rnz.co.nz →
- Talbot Mills 11 Aug stuff.co.nz →
- Taxpayers’ Union–Curia 4 Aug taxpayers.org.nz →
July 2026
- Talbot Mills 25 Jul theprogressreport.co.nz →
- RNZ–Reid Research 9 Jul rnz.co.nz →
- Taxpayers’ Union–Curia 5 Jul taxpayers.org.nz →
June 2026
- 1News–Verian 17 Jun rnz.co.nz →
- Talbot Mills 10 Jun stuff.co.nz →
- Taxpayers’ Union–Curia 8 Jun taxpayers.org.nz →
May 2026
- Taxpayers’ Union–Curia 7 May taxpayers.org.nz →
April 2026
- 1News–Verian 15 Apr thepost.co.nz →
- Taxpayers’ Union–Curia 2 Apr taxpayers.org.nz →
March 2026
- RNZ–Reid Research 23 Mar rnz.co.nz →
- Talbot Mills 12 Mar stuff.co.nz →
- Taxpayers’ Union–Curia 3 Mar taxpayers.org.nz →
February 2026
- 1News–Verian 11 Feb rnz.co.nz →
- Taxpayers’ Union–Curia 3 Feb taxpayers.org.nz →
January 2026
- RNZ–Reid Research 22 Jan rnz.co.nz →
- Taxpayers’ Union–Curia 18 Jan taxpayers.org.nz →
Latest numbers and swings
Change compares the two most recent polls that carried a number for each party. Swing compares the last 30 days of polling with the 30 days before it.
| Party | Latest | Change | 30-day avg | Swing | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour | 32.2% | +2.2 | 31.4% | −1.4 | 40 |
| National | 29.1% | +0.1 | 29.8% | +0.2 | 36 |
| NZ First | 11.9% | +3.9 | 10.8% | −0.4 | 15 |
| Green | 10.2% | −1.8 | 9.9% | −0.5 | 13 |
| ACT | 7.7% | −1.3 | 7.6% | +0.3 | 9 |
| TOP | 5.3% | −2.7 | 5.9% | +1.9 | 7 |
| Te Pāti Māori | 3.0% | +2.0 | 2.3% | −0.5 | – |
Comparing RNZ–Reid Research (21 Aug 2026) with 1News–Verian (11 Aug 2026).
How the pollsters compare
Each pollster's most recent published result.
| Pollster | Date | LAB | NAT | GRN | ACT | NZF | TPM | TOP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RNZ–Reid Research | 21 Aug 2026 | 32.2 | 29.1 | 10.2 | 7.7 | 11.9 | 3.0 | 5.3 |
| 1News–Verian | 11 Aug 2026 | 30.0 | 29.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 |
| Talbot Mills | 11 Aug 2026 | 34.0 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 5.2 |
| Taxpayers’ Union–Curia | 4 Aug 2026 | 27.8 | 31.0 | 10.1 | 7.3 | 9.1 | 1.5 | 6.1 |
| Roy Morgan | 21 Dec 2025 | 32.5 | 33.0 | 12.0 | 7.5 | 10.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
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<iframe src="https://nzelectionhub.com/embed/polls" title="NZ 2026 party vote" width="360" height="320" style="border:0;max-width:100%" loading="lazy"></iframe>
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NZ 2026 party vote
21 Aug 2026
Labour
32.2%
+2.2
National
29.1%
+0.1
NZ First
11.9%
+3.9
Green
10.2%
−1.8
ACT
7.7%
−1.3
TOP
5.3%
−2.7
Te Pāti Māori
3.0%
+2.0
RNZ–Reid Researchnzelectionhub.com