K
Kōwhiringa Ledger
NZ 2026 · Election Explorer
Full 2026 election cycle

Monthly party-vote averages

The polling record shows a sustained narrowing from National’s clear post-election lead toward a highly competitive contest. Pollster-to-pollster variation remains material, but Labour recovered through 2025 while NZ First strengthened and Opportunity rose sharply during 2026. Monthly averages reduce individual house effects but should be read as direction-of-travel rather than election forecasts.

010203040JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
LabourNationalGreenACTNZ FirstTe Pāti MāoriTOP
Adjustable poll record

Every individual poll, averaged your way

One combined record of every nationwide party-vote poll on file, including releases the site collects automatically as they are published. Choose a date range and which pollsters to include; the averages and the trend line update to match. Figures are shown only where the pollster reported them — nothing is estimated, and no electorate-level numbers are published in these releases.

Pollsters included

1 poll worth a check

Still included in the averages

These results move sharply against nearby polls, against the same pollster’s last release, or sit a long way from the 2023 official count. Nothing has been changed or removed — open the source and decide for yourself.

  • 4 Aug 2026Taxpayers’ Union–CuriaCheck thisSource
    • • LAB 27.8% is 5 points below the recent 32.8% average

Average party vote across 20 polls

18 Jan 2026 – 21 Aug 2026
010203040JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
LAB33.2%NAT30.3%GRN10.3%ACT7.3%NZF11.0%TPM2.6%TOP3.4%
LabourNationalGreenACTNZ FirstTe Pāti MāoriTOP

Loading collected polls…

Individual party-vote polls
DatePollsterFieldworkLABNATGRNACTNZFTPMTOP
21 Aug 2026RNZ–Reid Research14–21 Aug32.229.110.27.711.93.05.3
11 Aug 20261News–Verian8–11 Aug30.029.012.09.08.01.08.0
11 Aug 2026Talbot Mills1–11 Aug34.029.08.07.013.03.05.2
4 Aug 2026Taxpayers’ Union–CuriaFlagged1–4 Aug27.831.010.17.39.11.56.1
25 Jul 2026Talbot MillsJuly (reported 25 Jul)33.031.09.07.012.03.04.7
9 Jul 2026RNZ–Reid Research2–9 Jul34.028.710.37.811.52.34.7
5 Jul 2026Taxpayers’ Union–Curia1–5 Jul31.530.510.46.910.83.43.3
17 Jun 20261News–Verian13–17 Jun32.029.013.06.011.02.04.6
10 Jun 2026Talbot Mills1–10 Jun34.029.013.06.012.02.63.3
8 Jun 2026Taxpayers’ Union–Curia4–8 Jun32.230.111.57.811.43.13.2
7 May 2026Taxpayers’ Union–Curia3–7 May31.930.09.76.511.74.12.8
15 Apr 20261News–Verian11–15 Apr37.030.011.07.010.02.03.0
2 Apr 2026Taxpayers’ Union–Curia1–2 Apr33.429.87.89.013.62.62.6
23 Mar 2026RNZ–Reid ResearchMarch poll35.630.810.17.010.63.22.0
12 Mar 2026Talbot Mills2–12 Mar35.032.011.07.011.01.72.4
3 Mar 2026Taxpayers’ Union–Curia1–3 Mar34.428.410.57.59.73.21.9
11 Feb 20261News–Verian7–11 Feb32.034.011.09.010.02.01.0
3 Feb 2026Taxpayers’ Union–Curia1–3 Feb34.131.310.36.710.52.91.4
22 Jan 2026RNZ–Reid Research15–22 Jan35.031.99.67.69.83.02.3
18 Jan 2026Taxpayers’ Union–Curia14–18 Jan34.431.57.77.011.93.00.7